Informace o publikaci
Comparing the structure of voting transitions around the presidential elections in the Czech Republic and Slovakia
| Autoři | |
|---|---|
| Rok publikování | 2014 |
| Druh | Článek v odborném periodiku |
| Časopis / Zdroj | Evropská volební studia |
| Fakulta / Pracoviště MU | |
| Citace | |
| www | http://seth.ics.muni.cz/volstudia/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/evs-2014-1-1.pdf |
| Obor | Politologie a politické vědy |
| Popis | The article explores similarities in the structure of voting transitions between the last parliamentary elections and the recent presidential elections and between the first and the second round of these elections in Czech Republic and Slovakia. The structure of voting transitions was estimated using the hierarchical Bayesian model of ecological inference from a dataset of electoral results on the municipal level. Analysis finds many striking resemblances between the two countries, most notably the loosing presidential candidates being unable to secure full support of their parties’ electoral base in the first round and attract voters of unsuccessful candidates in the second round. The winning candidates exhibited much more heterogeneous electoral support in both rounds of the elections. The similarities could be accounted for by the theory of second order elections or the theory of “deidentification” of politics. |