Publication details

P2P loan performance forecasting and portfolio optimization: the role of distance metrics in mixed data classification

Authors

PLÍHAL Tomáš DEEV Oleg

Year of publication 2026
Type Peer-reviewed scientific article
Magazine / Source Financial Markets and Portfolio Management
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

Citation
web https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11408-025-00481-w
Doi https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-025-00481-w
Keywords Peer-to-peer lending; Proft scoring; Loan performance; Distance metrics; Mixed data
Attached files
Description This study investigates the critical but often overlooked role of distance metric selection in classification models using mixed data, with a focus on P2P loan performance forecasting. Unlike previous studies that used standard distance metrics with minimal critical evaluation, we systematically evaluate 24 distance metrics across four diverse P2P lending platforms. Our results demonstrate that a simple mixed-data distance metric significantly improves prediction accuracy and computational efficiency, while effectively capturing loan dependencies. Furthermore, the appropriate choice of distance metric enables investors to filter underperforming loans more effectively, optimizing portfolio outcomes. This research provides a robust methodological framework for enhancing credit and profit scoring models in P2P lending, providing investors with a robust, scalable, and efficient analytical tool.

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