Publication details

Voting in Ruins : Examining the Effect of a Tornado on Voting Behavior Toward Coalition Government Parties

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Authors

JUSKO Jakub SPÁČ Peter

Year of publication 2026
Type Article in Periodical
Magazine / Source Economics & Politics
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Social Studies

Citation
web
Doi https://doi.org/10.1111/ecpo.70032
Keywords coalition governments; difference-in-differences; natural disaster; retrospective voting; tornado
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Description The electoral effects of natural disasters have gained increasing importance in recent research. This paper analyzes the impact of an unprecedentedly strong tornado on the electoral results of coalition government parties in the 2021 Czech general election. We find a positive effect on support for the main governing party, ANO, which played a leading role in the disaster relief program. However, the smaller incumbent party, ČSSD, which had less involvement in relief policies, did not experience a similar electoral advantage. Our study suggests that the electoral impact of disasters varies among coalition parties.
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