Publication details

Balancing speed and precision in protein folding: a comparison of AlphaFold2, ESMFold, and OmegaFold

Authors

HÝSKOVÁ Anna MARŠÁLKOVÁ Eva ŠIMEČEK Petr

Year of publication 2026
Type Article in Periodical
Magazine / Source Frontiers in Genetics
MU Faculty or unit

Central European Institute of Technology

Citation
web https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2025.1715037
Doi https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2025.1715037
Keywords AlphaFold2; ESMFold; foundation models; LightGBM; OmegaFold; protein structure prediction; protein folding; structural bioinformatics
Attached files
Description The rapid development of protein structure prediction tools has created a need for systematic performance comparisons to guide method selection for different applications, particularly given the trade-offs between computational speed and prediction accuracy. We benchmarked AlphaFold2, ESMFold, and OmegaFold using 1,337 protein chains deposited in the Protein Data Bank between July 2022 and July 2024, ensuring no overlap with training data, and evaluated predictions using Root Mean Square Deviation (RMSD), Template Modeling score (TM-score), Global Distance Test–Total Score (GDT-TS) and predicted Local Distance Difference Test (pLDDT) metrics. AlphaFold2 achieved the highest median TM-score (0.96), highest median GDT-TS (94%), and lowest median RMSD (1.30 A), outperforming ESMFold (TM-score 0.95, GDT-TS 90%, RMSD 1.74 A) and OmegaFold (TM-score 0.93, GDT-TS 89%, RMSD 1.98 A), with all tools showing reduced accuracy for proteins lacking family annotations, leucine-rich repeats, and NMR-determined structures, while alignment-free methods unexpectedly excelled at de novo designed proteins. The performance differences between methods were negligible for many proteins, suggesting that faster alignment-free predictors (10–30 times faster) can be sufficient for numerous applications; we developed LightGBM classifiers using ProtBert embeddings and confidence scores that accurately predict when AlphaFold2’s computational investment is warranted, providing practitioners with actionable guidance for selecting between speed and precision in structural pipelines.
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