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Climate variability and Germanic settlement dynamics in the Middle Danube region during the Roman Period (1st–4th Century CE)

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VLACH Marek KOMORÓCZY Balázs TORBENSON Max Carl Arne ESPER Jan BRÁZDIL Rudolf BÜNTGEN Ulf SEMERÁDOVÁ Daniela URBAN Otmar BALEK Jan KOLÁŘ Tomáš RYBNÍČEK Michal TRNKA Miroslav

Rok publikování 2025
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj PLOS ONE
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Citace
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Doi https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0325139
Klíčová slova Archaeology; Paleoclimatology; Built structures; Climate change; Historical archaeology; Ice cores; Trees; Winter
Přiložené soubory
Popis Climatic variability inevitably impacted past societies and acted as a driver of change. The combined analyses of the archaeological record and written documentary sources, together with high-resolution climate reconstructions, remain rare. In this work, we compare evidence of change at the Germanic settlements (residential areas) of Iron Age Germanic societies in the Middle Danube region (the region of Moravia in the Czech Republic, Lower Austria and the Záhorie region in Slovakia) and reconstruct the effect of agroclimatic conditions during the first four centuries CE. Based on data from 773 residential areas with temporal identification, we demonstrate a coherent relationship between spatiotemporal changes in Germanic settlement structures and agroclimatic conditions. A nearly exponential increase in settlement structure during the 1st and half of the 2nd century CE coincided with improved agroclimatic conditions, whereas the subsequent settlement structure decline during the Late Roman Period temporally overlapped with agroclimatic deteriorations. Documented peak in cessations of residential areas in the late 2nd century CE appears unrelated to regional agroclimatic conditions and was instead caused by the Marcomannic Wars. We argue that separating periods of agroclimatic importance and insignificance is the first step towards identifying possible causal environmental drivers of settlement dynamics and societal change in the Middle Danube region.

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