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Voting in Ruins : Examining the Effect of a Tornado on Voting Behavior Toward Coalition Government Parties

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JUSKO Jakub SPÁČ Peter

Rok publikování 2026
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj Economics & Politics
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Fakulta sociálních studií

Citace
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Doi https://doi.org/10.1111/ecpo.70032
Klíčová slova coalition governments; difference-in-differences; natural disaster; retrospective voting; tornado
Přiložené soubory
Popis The electoral effects of natural disasters have gained increasing importance in recent research. This paper analyzes the impact of an unprecedentedly strong tornado on the electoral results of coalition government parties in the 2021 Czech general election. We find a positive effect on support for the main governing party, ANO, which played a leading role in the disaster relief program. However, the smaller incumbent party, ČSSD, which had less involvement in relief policies, did not experience a similar electoral advantage. Our study suggests that the electoral impact of disasters varies among coalition parties.
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