Publication details

Metodika predikce, včasného varování a prevence hrozeb plynoucích z regionálních ozbrojených konfliktů pro vnitřní bezpečnost ČR

Title in English Methodology for the forecast, early warning, and prevention of threats to Czech internal security from regional armed conflicts
Authors

KŘÍŽ Zdeněk BECHNÁ Zinaida BÍZIK Vladimír FRIDRICHOVÁ Kateřina CHOVANČÍK Martin ILAVSKÁ Adriana URBANOVSKÁ Jana VOTRADOVCOVÁ Hana

Year of publication 2020
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Social Studies

Attached files
Description Armed conflicts generate direct and indirect threats to Czech internal security. Early recognition of the risks of armed conflict onset and associated potential (conventional and hybrid) threats to the CR are prerequisites for effective prevention. The methodology uses a new armed conflict forecast model based on causal conjunction. The model forms the basis for an applied methodology of prediction, early warning, and threat prevention.
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