Publication details

Dependence of stock return in the Prague Stock Exchange on the oil price



Year of publication 2014
Type Article in Proceedings
Conference Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Finance and Banking
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

Field Economy
Keywords Price; return; oil; exchange rate; shocks
Description The aim of this paper is to examine the effect of oil price development on the selected securities traded in the Prague Stock Exchange. Although, there are many studies, which examine the impact of oil price, most of these studies focused on Western markets or important and large emerging markets. The Czech Republic belongs rather to the marginal countries in terms of economic significance. Further, the PSE is characterized by several specific features. The applied models are based on the linear dependence between an equity risk premium and the systematic risk and the development of oil price. The influence of the oil price development is examined from two perspectives. First, the impact of oil prices was analyzed without any decomposition. Afterwards, the oil prices in USD and the exchange rate were examined separately. It was found out that the exchange rate has a more significant impact on the equity excess return than the price of oil. Further, the effect of demand and supply shocks of oil was analyzed. The results confirmed with the exception of NWR, that the demand shocks are a significant price factors for the examined stocks. In the case of NWR supply shocks were significant for the price process as well.
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