Publication details

Synergy between imputed genetic pathway and clinical information for predicting recurrence in early stage non-small cell lung cancer

Authors

TIMILSINA Mohan FEY Dirk BUOSI Samuele JANIK Adrianna COSTABELLO Luca CARCERENY Enric ABREU Delvys Rodriguez COBO Manuel CASTRO Rafael López BERNABÉ Reyes MINERVINI Pasquale TORRENTE Maria PROVENCIO Mariano NOVÁČEK Vít

Year of publication 2023
Type Article in Periodical
Magazine / Source Journal for Biomedical Informatics
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Informatics

Citation
Web https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1532046423001454
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2023.104424
Keywords Regression; Classification; Imputation; Recurrence; Supervised; Explanation
Description Objective: Lung cancer exhibits unpredictable recurrence in low-stage tumors and variable responses to different therapeutic interventions. Predicting relapse in early-stage lung cancer can facilitate precision medicine and improve patient survivability. While existing machine learning models rely on clinical data, incorporating genomic information could enhance their efficiency. This study aims to impute and integrate specific types of genomic data with clinical data to improve the accuracy of machine learning models for predicting relapse in early-stage, non-small cell lung cancer patients. Methods: The study utilized a publicly available TCGA lung cancer cohort and imputed genetic pathway scores into the Spanish Lung Cancer Group (SLCG) data, specifically in 1348 early-stage patients. Initially, tumor recurrence was predicted without imputed pathway scores. Subsequently, the SLCG data were augmented with pathway scores imputed from TCGA. The integrative approach aimed to enhance relapse risk prediction performance. Results: The integrative approach achieved improved relapse risk prediction with the following evaluation metrics: an area under the precision–recall curve (PR-AUC) score of 0.75, an area under the ROC (ROC-AUC) score of 0.80, an F1 score of 0.61, and a Precision of 0.80. The prediction explanation model SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) was employed to explain the machine learning model’s predictions. Conclusion: We conclude that our explainable predictive model is a promising tool for oncologists that addresses an unmet clinical need of post-treatment patient stratification based on the relapse risk while also improving the predictive power by incorporating proxy genomic data not available for specific patients.

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