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Precipitation variability in the Czech Lands since AD 1500: How strong is the signal contained within documentary sources?

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DOBROVOLNÝ Petr BRÁZDIL Rudolf TRNKA Mirek KOTYZA Oldřich VALÁŠEK Hubert

Rok publikování 2013
Druh Článek ve sborníku
Konference Global Change and Resilience. From Impacts To Responses. Proceedings of the 3rd annual Global Change and Resilience Conference.
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Citace
Obor Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie
Klíčová slova documentary evidence; precipitation; reconstruction; Czech Lands
Popis Past climate may be reconstructed from a number of proxies. Some of them are “natural archives”, such as tree rings, ice cores and boreholes, most of which are sensitive to air temperature. Other valuable information can be also found in “man-made archives”. Various sources of documentary data very often refer not only to temperature but also to other aspects of past weather and climate, such as dry and wet periods. We use the long and homogeneous precipitation series from the recent instrumental period to calibrate precipitation indices derived from older documentary sources. The primary objective of this contribution is to provide a quantitative reconstruction of precipitation in the Czech Lands for the last 500 years. Calibration and verification statistics are used to evaluate the strength of the signal. Reconstructed precipitation series are compared with similar Central European documentary-based reconstructions, as well as with reconstructions based on a range of natural proxies
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