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Pan-alpine summer temperatures since 742 CE

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ESPER Jan REINIG Frederick TORBENSON Max MARTINEZ del Castillo Edurne KUNZ Marcel ARZAC Alberto CARRER Marco FENG Chen KADIOGLU Alper K ALEXANDER V Kirdyanov TEJEDOR Ernesto TRNKA Mirek BÜNTGEN Ulf

Rok publikování 2025
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj Dendrochronologia
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Citace
www https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1125786525001468
Doi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2025.126432
Klíčová slova Climate reconstruction; European Alps; Larix decidua; Maximum latewood density; MXD; Paleoclimate
Popis Albeit labor-intensive, tree-ring maximum latewood density (MXD) has become a prime proxy to reconstruct inter-annual to multi-centennial climate variability. We here combine such data from five valleys in Austria, France and Switzerland to present a June-September temperature history for the European Alps reaching back to 742 CE. The pan-alpine record correlates at r1880–2023 =?0.89 with observational data and provides evidence for a prolonged Little Ice Age (LIA) from the 1250s to 1850s CE, during which summer temperatures were 0.59?°C cooler compared to the preceding Medieval Warm Period (MWP) from the 880s to 1240s CE. Temperatures rose by 3.65?°C from the coldest decade in the 1810s, which includes the 1816 CE post-Tambora “year without a summer”, to the warmest decade in the 2010s. The warmest summer in our reconstruction occurred in 2003 CE (+?2.71?°C) and exceeds the warmest naturally forced summer in 970 CE (+?2.19?°C) by more than 0.5?°C. This difference is non-significant, however, if we consider the increasing uncertainties back in time when fewer sites and trees contributed to the reconstruction. The pan-alpine record is the result of conducting MXD measurements over the past two decades in Swiss and German laboratories and sets a new standard in terms of explained variance and pre-instrumental temperature variability estimation in the European Alps.

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